1887
Volume 23, Issue 3
  • ISSN: 1354-0793
  • E-ISSN:
PDF

Abstract

Human society needs to achieve a low-carbon energy mix this century. To achieve this, we need: (a) an appreciation of the value of Earth's atmosphere; and (b) a sustainable approach for low-carbon energy. For sustainable developments, three pillars need to work together: the environment, social equity and economics. To address the societal aspects of the low-carbon energy transition, we need to appreciate that our future depends on protecting the Earth's atmosphere. By reviewing the discovery of the greenhouse gas effect over the last 200 years, we establish the essential motivation for changing human behaviour with regard to energy use. From this basis, we consider the challenge of how to achieve this energy transition or, more specifically, how to overcome the dissonances related to societal acceptance, economic hurdles and lack of progress with deployment of low-carbon energy options. The last decade has seen a significant growth in the renewable energy and natural gas sectors: however, CCS has made limited progress. This has to change if the human population is to significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions. In order to accelerate reductions in global CO emissions, all low-carbon energy options must be deployed at an increasing rate in the coming decades.

[open-access]

Companion

This article is accompanied by the following content:
Geoscience and decarbonization: current status and future directions
Loading

Article metrics loading...

/content/journals/10.1144/petgeo2016-060
2017-04-27
2024-04-24
Loading full text...

Full text loading...

/deliver/fulltext/petgeo/23/3/petgeo2016-060.html?itemId=/content/journals/10.1144/petgeo2016-060&mimeType=html&fmt=ahah

References

  1. Allen, D.T., Torres, V.M.
    2013. Measurements of methane emissions at natural gas production sites in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 110, 17  768–17  773.
    [Google Scholar]
  2. Alvarez, R.A., Pacala, S.W., Winebrake, J.J., Chameides, W.L. & Hamburg, S.P.
    2012. Greater focus needed on methane leakage from natural gas infrastructure. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 109, 6435–6440.
    [Google Scholar]
  3. Andres, R.J., Fielding, D.J., Marland, G., Boden, T.A., Kumar, N. & Kearney, A.T.
    1999. Carbon dioxide emissions from fossil-fuel use, 1751–1950. Tellus B, 51, 759–765.
    [Google Scholar]
  4. Arent, D.J., Wise, A. & Gelman, R.
    2011. The status and prospects of renewable energy for combating global warming. Energy Economics, 33, 584–593.
    [Google Scholar]
  5. Arrhenius, S.
    1896. XXXI. On the influence of carbonic acid in the air upon the temperature of the ground. The London, Edinburgh, and Dublin Philosophical Magazine and Journal of Science, 41, 237–276.
    [Google Scholar]
  6. Azar, C., Lindgren, K.
    2010. The feasibility of low CO2 concentration targets and the role of bio-energy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS). Climatic Change, 100, 195–202.
    [Google Scholar]
  7. Baklid, A., Korbol, R. & Owren, G.
    1996. Sleipner Vest CO2 disposal, CO2 injection into a shallow underground aquifer. Paper presented at the SPE Annual Technical Conference and Exhibition, 6–9 October 1996, Denver, Colorado, USA.
    [Google Scholar]
  8. Bale, C.S., Varga, L. & Foxon, T.J.
    2015. Energy and complexity: New ways forward. Applied Energy, 138, 150–159.
    [Google Scholar]
  9. Beaudin, M., Zareipour, H., Schellenberglabe, A. & Rosehart, W.
    2010. Energy storage for mitigating the variability of renewable electricity sources: An updated review. Energy for Sustainable Development, 14, 302–314.
    [Google Scholar]
  10. Burgess, E.
    1837. General Remarks on the Temperature of the Terrestrial Globe and the Planetary Spaces; by Baron Fourier. American Journal of Science, 32, 1–20. (Translation from French of Fourier 1824.)
    [Google Scholar]
  11. Burnham, A., Han, J., Clark, C.E., Wang, M., Dunn, J.B. & Palou-Rivera, I
    . 2011. Life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions of shale gas, natural gas, coal, and petroleum. Environmental Science & Technology, 46, 619–627.
    [Google Scholar]
  12. Callendar, G.S.
    1938. The artificial production of carbon dioxide and its influence on temperature. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 64, 223–240.
    [Google Scholar]
  13. 1958. On the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Tellus, 10, 243–248.
    [Google Scholar]
  14. Cook, J., Nuccitelli, D.
    2013. Quantifying the consensus on anthropogenic global warming in the scientific literature. Environmental Research Letters, 8, 024024.
    [Google Scholar]
  15. Dunn, B., Kamath, H. & Tarascon, J.M.
    2011. Electrical energy storage for the grid: a battery of choices. Science, 334, 928–935.
    [Google Scholar]
  16. Eiken, O., Ringrose, P., Hermanrud, C., Nazarian, B., Torp, T.A. & Høier, L.
    2011. Lessons learned from 14 years of CCS operations: Sleipner, In Salah and Snøhvit. Energy Procedia, 4, 5541–5548.
    [Google Scholar]
  17. Etheridge, D.M., Steele, L.P., Langenfelds, R.L., Francey, R. J., Barnola, J.-M. & Morgan, V.I.
    1996. Natural and anthropogenic changes in atmospheric CO2 over the last 1000 years from air in Antarctic ice and firn. Journal of Geophysical Research, 101, (D2), 4115–4128, https://doi.org/10.1029/95JD03410
    [Google Scholar]
  18. Feldman, D.R., Collins, W.D., Gero, P.J., Torn, M.S., Mlawer, E.J. & Shippert, T.R.
    2015. Observational determination of surface radiative forcing by CO2 from 2000 to 2010. Nature, 519, 339–343.
    [Google Scholar]
  19. Finley, R.J.
    2014. An overview of the Illinois Basin–Decatur project. Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, 4, 571–579.
    [Google Scholar]
  20. Forster, P., Ramaswamy, V.
    2007. Changes in atmospheric constituents and in radiative forcing. In: Solomon, S., Qin, D. (eds) Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 129–234.
    [Google Scholar]
  21. Foster, G. & Rahmstorf, S.
    2011. Global temperature evolution 1979–2010. Environmental Research Letters, 6, 044022.
    [Google Scholar]
  22. Fourier, J.B.J.
    1824. Remarques générales sur les températures du globe terrestre et des espaces planétaires. Annales de Chimie et de Physique, 27, 136–167.
    [Google Scholar]
  23. Ganopolski, A., Winkelmann, R. & Schellnhuber, H.J.
    2016. Critical insolation–CO2 relation for diagnosing past and future glacial inception. Nature, 529, 200–203, https://doi.org/10.1038/nature16494
    [Google Scholar]
  24. GCCSI
    . 2016. The Global Status of CCS: 2016. Global CCS Institute, Docklands, Victoria, Australia, www.globalccsinstitute.com
    [Google Scholar]
  25. Geels, F.W.
    2014. Regime resistance against low-carbon transitions: Introducing politics and power into the multi-level perspective. Theory, Culture & Society, 31, 21–40.
    [Google Scholar]
  26. Gibbins, J. & Chalmers, H.
    2008. Carbon capture and storage. Energy Policy, 36, 4317–4322.
    [Google Scholar]
  27. Godec, M.L., Kuuskraa, V.A. & Dipietro, P.
    2013. Opportunities for using anthropogenic CO2 for enhanced oil recovery and CO2 storage. Energy & Fuels, 27, 4183–4189.
    [Google Scholar]
  28. Gozalpour, F., Ren, S.R. & Tohidi, B.
    2005. CO2 EOR and storage in oil reservoir. Oil & Gas Science and Technology – Revue d'IFP Energies nouvelles, 60, 537–546.
    [Google Scholar]
  29. Grubb, M.
    2014. Planetary Economics: Energy, Climate Change and the Three Domains of Sustainable Development. Routledge, London.
    [Google Scholar]
  30. Hansen, J., Sato, M. & Ruedy, R.
    1997. Radiative forcing and climate response. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 102, (D6), 6831–6864.
    [Google Scholar]
  31. Haszeldine, R.S.
    2009. Carbon capture and storage: how green can black be?Science, 325, 1647–1652.
    [Google Scholar]
  32. Hays, J.D., Imbrie, J. & NJ Shackleton, N.J.
    1976. Variations in the Earth's orbit: pacemaker of the ice ages. Science, 194, 1121–1132.
    [Google Scholar]
  33. Holt, T. & Lindeberg, E.
    1992. Thermal power – without greenhouse gases and with improved oil recovery. Energy Conversion and Management, 33, 595–602.
    [Google Scholar]
  34. Howarth, R.W.
    2014. A bridge to nowhere: methane emissions and the greenhouse gas footprint of natural gas. Energy Science & Engineering, 2, 47–60.
    [Google Scholar]
  35. Howarth, R.W., Santoro, R. & Ingraffea, A.
    2011. Methane and the greenhouse-gas footprint of natural gas from shale formations. Climatic Change, 106, 679–690.
    [Google Scholar]
  36. Hulme, M.
    2009. Why we Disagree About Climate Change: Understanding Controversy, Inaction and Opportunity. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
    [Google Scholar]
  37. Ibrahim, H., Ilinca, A. & Perron, J.
    2008. Energy storage systems – characteristics and comparisons. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 12, 1221–1250.
    [Google Scholar]
  38. IEA
    . 2015a. Key World Energy Statistics 2015. International Energy Agency (IEA), Paris, www.iea.org/publications .
    [Google Scholar]
  39. . 2015b. World Energy Outlook 2015. International Energy Agency (IEA), Paris.
    [Google Scholar]
  40. . 2016a. CO2 Emissions from Fuel Combustion – 2016 edition. Key CO2 Emissions Trends. International Energy Agency (IEA), Paris.
    [Google Scholar]
  41. . 2016b. 20 Years of Carbon Capture and Storage: Accelerating Future Deployment. International Energy Agency (IEA), Paris, https://www.iea.org/publications
    [Google Scholar]
  42. IPCC
    . 2007. IPCC Fourth Assessment Report: Climate Change 2007. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Geneva, http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/syr/en/contents.html
    [Google Scholar]
  43. . 2010. IPCC Statement on the Melting of Himalayan Glaciers, Geneva, 20 January 2010. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), Geneva, http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/presentations/himalaya-statement-20january2010.pdf
    [Google Scholar]
  44. . 2013. Summary for policymakers. In: Stocker, T.F., Qin, D. (eds) Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 3–115.
    [Google Scholar]
  45. . 2014. Climate change 2014: mitigation of climate change. In: Edenhofer, O., Pichs-Madruga, R. , (eds) Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1–205.
    [Google Scholar]
  46. Jones, J.C.
    2009. Technical note: Total amounts of oil produced over the history of the industry. International Journal of Oil, Gas and Coal Technology, 2, 199–200.
    [Google Scholar]
  47. Keeling, C.D.
    1978. The influence of Mauna Loa Observatory on the development of atmospheric CO2 research. In: Miller, J. (ed.) Mauna Loa Observatory: A 20th Anniversary Report. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Special Report. Environmental Research Laboratories, Air Resources Laboratories, Silver Spring, MD, USA.
    [Google Scholar]
  48. Kemper, J.
    2015. Biomass and carbon dioxide capture and storage: A review. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, 40, 401–430.
    [Google Scholar]
  49. Krausmann, F., Gingrich, S., Eisenmenger, N., Erb, K.H., Haberl, H. & Fischer-Kowalski, M.
    2009. Growth in global materials use, GDP and population during the 20th century. Ecological Economics, 68, 2696–2705.
    [Google Scholar]
  50. Lashof, D.A. & Ahuja, D.R.
    1990. Relative contributions of greenhouse gas emissions to global warming. Nature, 344, 529–531, https://doi.org/10.1038/344529a0
    [Google Scholar]
  51. Leaton, J., Ranger, N., Ward, B., Sussams, L. & Brown, M.
    2013. Unburnable Carbon 2013: Wasted Capital and Stranded Assets. Carbon Tracker and Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment. London School of Economics, London, http://www.carbontracker.org/wastedcapital
    [Google Scholar]
  52. Liu, H. & Liang, X.
    2011. Strategy for promoting low-carbon technology transfer to developing countries: The case of CCS. Energy Policy, 39, 3106–3116.
    [Google Scholar]
  53. MacFarling Meure, C., Etheridge, D.
    2006. Law Dome CO2, CH4 and N2O ice core records extended to 2000 years BP. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L14810, https://doi.org/10.1029/2006GL026152
    [Google Scholar]
  54. McGlade, C. & Ekins, P.
    2015. The geographical distribution of fossil fuels unused when limiting global warming to 2°C. Nature, 517, 187–190.
    [Google Scholar]
  55. McGlade, C., Bradshaw, M., Anandarajah, G., Watson, J. & Ekins, P.
    2014. A Bridge to a Low-Carbon Future? Modelling the Long-Term Global Potential of Natural Gas. Research Report. UKERC, London.
    [Google Scholar]
  56. Metz, B., Davidson, O., De Coninck, H., Loos, M. & Meyer, L.
    (eds). 2005. Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
    [Google Scholar]
  57. Otterå, O.H., Bentsen, M., Drange, H. & Suo, L.
    2010. External forcing as a metronome for Atlantic multidecadal variability. Nature Geoscience, 3, 688–694.
    [Google Scholar]
  58. Pacala, S. & Socolow, R.
    2004. Stabilization wedges: solving the climate problem for the next 50 years with current technologies. Science, 305, 968–972.
    [Google Scholar]
  59. Pawar, R.J., Bromhal, G.S.
    2015. Recent advances in risk assessment and risk management of geologic CO2 storage. International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control, 40, 292–311.
    [Google Scholar]
  60. Peters, G.P., Andrew, R.M.
    2017. Key indicators to track current progress and future ambition of the Paris Agreement. Nature Climate Change, 7, 118–122.
    [Google Scholar]
  61. Pidwirny, M.
    2006. Chapter 7: Introduction to the atmosphere. In:Fundamentals of Physical Geography. 2nd edn, www.physicalgeography.net
    [Google Scholar]
  62. Pollack, J.B.
    1979. Climatic change on the terrestrial planets. Icarus, 37, 479–553.
    [Google Scholar]
  63. REN21
    . 2016. Renewables 2016 Global Status Report. REN21 Secretariat, Paris.
    [Google Scholar]
  64. Revelle, R. & Suess, H.
    1957. Carbon dioxide exchange between atmosphere and ocean and the question of an increase of atmospheric CO2 during the past decades. Tellus, 9, 18–27.
    [Google Scholar]
  65. Sachs, J.D.
    2015. The Age of Sustainable Development. Columbia University Press, New York.
    [Google Scholar]
  66. Schneider, S.H.
    1975. On the carbon dioxide-climate confusion. Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 32, 2060–2066.
    [Google Scholar]
  67. Shafiee, S. & Topal, E.
    2009. When will fossil fuel reserves be diminished?Energy Policy, 37, 181–189.
    [Google Scholar]
  68. Solomon, S.
    (ed.). 2007. Climate Change 2007 – The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC, Volume 4. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
    [Google Scholar]
  69. Sonnemann, G.R. & Grygalashvyly, M.
    2013. Effective CO2 lifetime and future CO2 levels based on fit function. Annales Geophysicae, 31, 1591–1596.
    [Google Scholar]
  70. Sportisse, B.
    2010. Chapter 2: Atmospheric radiative transfer. In:Fundamentals in Air Pollution. From Processes to Modelling. Springer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 45–92.
    [Google Scholar]
  71. Stern, N.
    2007. The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
    [Google Scholar]
  72. Stocker, T.F.
    (ed.). 2014. Climate Change 2013 – The Physical Science Basis. Working Group I Contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
    [Google Scholar]
  73. Stoknes, P.E.
    2015. What We Think About When We Try Not To Think About Global Warming: Toward a New Psychology of Climate Action. Chelsea Green Publishing, White River Junction, VT, USA.
    [Google Scholar]
  74. Sweeney, G.
    2012. Post 2020, CCS will be cost-competitive with other low-carbon energy technologies. Greenhouse Gases: Science and Technology, 2, 6–8.
    [Google Scholar]
  75. Tans, P.
    2009. An accounting of the observed increase in oceanic and atmospheric CO2 and the outlook for the future. Oceanography, 22, 26–35.
    [Google Scholar]
  76. Tyndall, J.
    1863. (XXVII). On radiation through the earth's atmosphere. The London, Edinburgh, and Dublin Philosophical Magazine and Journal of Science, 25, 200–206.
    [Google Scholar]
  77. Weisser, D.
    2007. A guide to life-cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from electric supply technologies. Energy, 32, 1543–1559.
    [Google Scholar]
  78. Whittaker, S., Rostron, B.
    2011. A decade of CO2 injection into depleting oil fields: monitoring and research activities of the IEA GHG Weyburn-Midale CO2 Monitoring and Storage Project. Energy Procedia, 4, 6069–6076.
    [Google Scholar]
  79. Woosley, R.J., Millero, F.J. & Wanninkhof, R.
    2016. Rapid anthropogenic changes in CO2 and pH in the Atlantic Ocean: 2003–2014. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 30, 70–90.
    [Google Scholar]
  80. Wright, I.W. Ringrose, P.S. Mathieson, A.S. & Eiken, O.
    2009. An overview of active large-scale CO2 storage projects. Paper presented at the SPE International Conference on CO2 Capture, Storage, and Utilization , 2–4 November 2009, San Diego, California, USA, https://doi.org/10.2118/127096-MS
    [Google Scholar]
http://instance.metastore.ingenta.com/content/journals/10.1144/petgeo2016-060
Loading
/content/journals/10.1144/petgeo2016-060
Loading

Data & Media loading...

  • Article Type: Research Article

Most Cited This Month Most Cited RSS feed

This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error