1887
Volume 42, Issue 4
  • ISSN: 0263-5046
  • E-ISSN: 1365-2397

Abstract

Abstract

Mitigating flood risk of heavily urbanised coastal regions by geo-engineered surface uplift via CO-sequestration may help to create commercially viable storage opportunities for greenhouse gases like CO. Recent projections for increased global flood risk due to sea level rise induced by rising CO-emissions are briefly reviewed. Next, a practical geo-mechanical model is presented, suitable for quick technical assessments of the key physical parameters that contribute most to achieving a specific surface uplift rate required to outpace the projected relative sea level rise for a certain region at risk. The model allows for probabilistic inputs to (1) capture the uncertainty in the value of key input parameters, and (2) link and rank the sensitivity of the surface uplift, to the individual input parameters (in tornado and spider graphs). Three uplift scenarios are given to demonstrate the feasibility of flood mitigation with CO-sequestration. Finally, a discussion places the emergence of CO-injection projects in a historic perspective, and highlights the critical key factors in the future screening of any CO-injection prospects. These factors include the evaluation of technical challenges, potential risks, stakeholder management, public education and perception management.

Loading

Article metrics loading...

/content/journals/10.3997/1365-2397.fb2024033
2024-04-01
2025-03-17
Loading full text...

Full text loading...

References

  1. Cheng, W., Dan, L. and Deng, X.et al. [2022]. Global monthly gridded atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations under the historical and future scenarios.Scientific Data9, 83, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-022-01196-7.
    [Google Scholar]
  2. Deltares [2023]. Assessment of Land Subsidence in New Orleans.https://nola.gov/nola/media/Stormwater/Assessment-of-Land-Sub-sidence_20230510.pdf.
    [Google Scholar]
  3. Dokka, R.K. [2011]. The role of deep processes in late 20th century subsidence of New Orleans and coastal areas of southern Louisiana and Mississippi, J. Geophys. Res., 116, B06403, https://doi.org/10.1029/2010JB008008.
    [Google Scholar]
  4. ECMWF [2020]. CHE project - A year of atmospheric CO2 variability at the time of the Paris agreement.https://www.che-project.eu/news/year-atmospheric-co2-variability-time-paris-agreement.
    [Google Scholar]
  5. Goeijenbier, H. [2023]. How CO2 phase behavior can derail CCS projects.https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/how-co2-phase-behaviour-can-derail-ccs-projects-valvestris.
    [Google Scholar]
  6. GSFC [2014]. A year in the life of Earth’s CO2. Updated in 2023. https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/11719/.
    [Google Scholar]
  7. Hillen et al. [2010]. Coastal defense cost estimates: Case study of the Netherlands, New Orleans and Vietnam. https://repository.tudelft.nl/islandora/object/uuid%3A604825d4-f218-40fc-b3b5-5f4280b2338d.
    [Google Scholar]
  8. Jonkman, S.N., Hillen, M.M., Nicholls, R.J., Kanning, W. and van Ledden, M.[2013]. Costs of adapting coastal defences to sea-level rise—new estimates and their implications. Journal of Coastal Research, 29(5), 1212–1226. https://doi.org/10.2112/JCOASTRES-D-12-00230.1.
    [Google Scholar]
  9. Jun, S., Song, Y., Wang, Y. and Weijermars, R.[2023]. Formation Uplift Analysis During Geological CO2 Storage Using the Gaussian Pressure Transient Method: Krechba (Algeria) Validation and South Korean Case Studies. GeoEnergy Science and Engineering, 221, 211404. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoen.2022.211404.
    [Google Scholar]
  10. Kok, M., Jonkman, S.N., Kanning, W., Stijnen, J. and Rijcken, T.[2008]. Toekomst voor het Nederlandse polderconcept, Appendix to Working Together with Water.Delta Committee 2008. The Hague: the Netherlands [in Dutch], 137p.
    [Google Scholar]
  11. McLindon, C. [2021]. A geological Evaluation of the vicinity of the Mid-Barataria Sediment Diversion. https://www.mcgeo.me/blog/a-geological-evaluation-of-the-vicinity-of-the-mid-barataria-sediment-diversion.
    [Google Scholar]
  12. NOAA [2022]. History of atmospheric carbon dioxide from 800,000 years ago until the end of the most recentGlobal View + CO2 collection. https://gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/history.html.
    [Google Scholar]
  13. OECD [2007]. Ranking of the World’s cities most exposed to coastal flooding today and in the future.OECD Environment Working Paper No. 1 (ENV/WKP(2007)1). https://climate-adapt.eea.europa.eu/en/metadata/publications/ranking-of-the-worlds-cities-to-coastal-flooding/11240357.
    [Google Scholar]
  14. PRMS [2018]. Petroleum Resources Management System. https://www.spe.org/en/industry/petroleum-resources-management-system-2018/.
    [Google Scholar]
  15. SRMS [2022]. CO2 Storage Resources Management System.https://www.spe.org/en/industry/co2-storage-resources-management-system/.
    [Google Scholar]
  16. Sweet et al. [2022]. Global and Regional Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States: Updated Mean Projections and Extreme Water Level Probabilities Along U.S. Coastlines. NOAA, Silver Spring, MD, 111 pp. https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/hazards/sealevelrise/noaa-nos-techrpt01-global-regional-SLR-scenarios-US.pdf.
    [Google Scholar]
  17. Trupp, M. et al. [2021]. Developing the world’s largest CO2 Injection System – a history of the Gorgon Carbon Dioxide Injection System.Proceedings of the 15th Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies Conference15–18 March 2021. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3815492.
    [Google Scholar]
  18. Weijermars, R. [2023]. Surface Subsidence and Uplift Resulting from Well Interventions Modeled with Coupled Analytical Solutions: Application to Groningen Gas Extraction (Netherlands) and CO2-EOR in the Kelly-Snyder Oil Field (West Texas).Geoenergy Science and Engineering, 228, 211959. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoen.2023.211959.
    [Google Scholar]
/content/journals/10.3997/1365-2397.fb2024033
Loading
/content/journals/10.3997/1365-2397.fb2024033
Loading

Data & Media loading...

  • Article Type: Research Article
This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error