Modeling Structural Mapping Errors for Stochastic Estimation of Geologic Risk

P046 MODELING STRUCTURAL MAPPING ERRORS FOR STOCHASTIC ESTIMATION OF GEOLOGIC RISK N. L. IVANOVA A. G. AVERBUKH Central Geophysical Expedition 38/3 Narodnogo Opolcheniya Street 123298 Moscow Russia Summary. This paper highlights a technique to estimate structural mapping errors on which basis estimation is subsequently made of geologic risk associated with uncertainties of the structural maps and filtration-and-capacity characteristics within a structure localized from seismic data. Hydrocarbon reserves distribution as a geologic risk characteristic is determined by the methods of stochastic simulation. Introduction. Quantitative estimate of risk is essential for decision making regarding hydrocarbon exploration. Structural maps as major parameters for