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Nonlinear Dynamics of Regional Cyclogenesis with Wind Speed Variations
- Publisher: European Association of Geoscientists & Engineers
- Source: Conference Proceedings, 8th Congress of the Balkan Geophysical Society, Oct 2015, Volume 2015, p.1 - 5
Abstract
A numerical analysis of a self—consistent small parametric model (SPM) of a regional large scale cyclogenesis (RLSC) has been performed by usage of connected nonlinear equations for mean wind speed and ocean surface temperature in the tropical cyclone (TC) zone. These equations may describe the different scenario of temporal dynamics of a powerful atmospheric vortex during its full life cycle. By means of numerical calculations it is shown that relevant choice of SPM’s incoming parameters allows to obtain the seasonal behavior of regional LLSC with a given number of TC during the active season. In addition, the model allows describe the wind speed variations within the TC. So in the reference frame of the nonlinear small parametric model it is possible to study the features of RLSC’s temporal dynamics during the active season in the region given, to analyze the relationship between regional cyclogenesis characteristics and different external factors like the space weather.