Full text loading...
The accurate prediction of fluid saturation is of great significance for oil and gas exploration and development. However, the prediction of fluid saturation using seismic data mostly stays qualitative and semi-quantitative. How to manage the quantitative prediction of fluid saturation is always a challenge. We present a new saturation quantitative prediction method based on Relevance Vector Machine optimized by Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO-RVM). We use PSO-RVM in quantitative prediction of water saturation with comprehensive application of seismic, logging and geological data. By comparing with Relevance Vector Machine (RVM), PSO-RVM has higher correlation coefficient, lower root mean square error (RMSE) and higher prediction accuracy. At the same time, we introduce the coefficient of variation (CV) to quantify the uncertainty and estimate the reliability of this algorithm. The prediction results of field data are in good agreement with drilling and logging, which shows that this method can predict water saturation quantitatively. PSO-RVM has reference significance in field production.