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oa Machine Learning Analysis Using Pylenm Package of Chernobyl Long-Term Groundwater Monitoring Data: First Experience and Opportunities
- Publisher: European Association of Geoscientists & Engineers
- Source: Conference Proceedings, 17th International Conference Monitoring of Geological Processes and Ecological Condition of the Environment, Nov 2023, Volume 2023, p.1 - 5
Abstract
The PyLEnM framework based on unsupervised machine learning (ML) algorithms was applied to analyse Chernobyl groundwater monitoring data set comprising of 74 monitoring wells within the 10-km zone of Chernobyl nuclear power plant for the period from 1990 to 2019. Concentrations of 90Sr and 137Cs in groundwater were studied depending on the groundwater water level, surface deposition of fallout radionuclides, monitoring borehole design characteristics and distance from the source of release. No strong positive correlation of radionuclide groundwater concentrations with land surface contamination was determined, suggesting that a larger set of attributes is needed to explain variability of groundwater data. Time trends of 90Sr in groundwater and results of ML analyses are consistent with the conceptual model assuming a gradual release from dissolving fuel particles and its downward transport through vadose zone to groundwater. The results for 137Cs can likely be explained by a combination of facilitated transport and fixation to clay minerals in the topsoil layer. The conducted pilot computational analysis of the Chernobyl dataset offers further opportunities for in-depth research on the application of AI/ML-guided analyses in order to improve conceptual understanding of radionuclide migration process and draw lessons from radiation monitoring experience.