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The paper presents a novel approach that reduces the execution time for a closed-loop reservoir management workflow significantly. The speed-up comes from using coarse models that are calibrated to data using an improved history-matching workflow.
A reservoir simulation study consists of two main steps. First, a history matching step where the model is calibrated to historical well and seismic data, then a second step where the calibrated model is used to simulate future reservoir responses that can be used to optimize well locations and well controls. For robust decisions, ensemble methods using hundreds of simulation models are typically used to incorporate uncertainty in the predictions. This motivates fast simulation approaches.
The simulation time scales directly with the number of cells in the model, using coarser models is thus tempting to reduce the simulation time, but balancing accuracy and efficiency is challenging, and too coarse models may lead to large errors in the prediction. To remedy this, we use a recently developed history-matching setup where the shape of the relative permeability curves is adjusted in flow regions pre-computed from the drainage and flooding regions around the wells. The new history-matching workflow gives a good match to the data both for the training and the validation period even on significantly coarser grids.
The workflow is demonstrated on the Drogon model, which is a full reservoir simulation model created and shared by Equinor for testing closed-loop reservoir simulation workflows. It has a historical period including data for history matching, and a prediction setup. Our results show that we can match the historical data very well, even on a significantly coarser grid, if the main geological structures (faults, layers, oil-water contact, etc.) are preserved. The accuracy of the prediction, however, deteriorates if the grid is coarsened too much. Still, results shows that the optimized controls computed from a coarsened model, with 10 times speed-up in total simulation time compared to the original model, give significant improvements to the net-present-value of the original model.