1887

Abstract

Summary

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 caused one of the greatest humanitarian disasters in Europe. It led to a massive influx of refugees, especially to the Visegrad Group countries. This phenomenon had a substantial impact on local housing markets. An increase in rents and demand for housing was recorded. The scale of migration and the proximity of the conflict make the situation of the V4 countries unique in the context of the European response to the crisis. To assess the impact of the Russian-Ukrainian war on property price increases in the Visegrad Group countries, the migration scale must be considered as well as the main routes of migration determined with GIS. By May 2025, more than 5 million refugees from Ukraine had been registered in Europe, of which approximately 1.5 million were in the V4 countries. Poland accepted the most (nearly 1 million), followed by the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Hungary. The most significant economic shock and housing price increase occurred in the war’s first months. The scale of relocation placed a heavy burden on the region’s housing markets. Between 2021 and 2023, the V4 countries experienced an increase in rental prices, varying according to the number of refugees from Ukraine. Poland saw a large influx of migrants and a significant rent increase, suggesting market pressure. Despite a smaller influx, Hungary also showed high increases, indicating other factors, such as inflation. Slovakia was close to the EU average. Since 2022, property prices in the V4 have risen faster than in the EU.

Loading

Article metrics loading...

/content/papers/10.3997/2214-4609.202552016
2025-10-06
2026-01-19
Loading full text...

Full text loading...

/deliver/fulltext/2214-4609/2025/geoterrace-2025/GeoTerrace-2025-016.html?itemId=/content/papers/10.3997/2214-4609.202552016&mimeType=html&fmt=ahah

References

  1. Alhawarin, I., Assaad, R., & Elsayed, A. (2021). Migration shocks and housing: Short-run impact of the Syrian refugee crisis in Jordan. Journal of Housing Economics, 53, 101761. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhe.2021.101761
    [Google Scholar]
  2. Apollo, M., Dmytryshyn, M., & Maciuk, K. (2025). Hidden costs of solidarity: the Ukrainian and Polish rental market at the beginning of the full-scale war in Ukraine. Regional Statistics, 15(1), 1–17. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.15196/RS150101
    [Google Scholar]
  3. Apollo, M., Krupska-Klimczak, M., & (Eds.). (2019). Poland and Ukraine: Problems and prospect. Kraków: Wydawnictwo Naukowe Uniwersytetu Pedagogicznego.
    [Google Scholar]
  4. Bentley, E. (2022). This map shows how many refugees are fleeing Ukraine. Retrieved from https://www.weforum.org/stories/2022/06/ukraine-refugee-crisis-europe-conflict-migration/
    [Google Scholar]
  5. Czerniak, A. (2024). Did Ukrainian war refugees drive up Poland's rental prices? Retrieved from https://notesfrompoland.com/2024/09/16/did-ukrainian-war-refugees-drive-up-polands-rental-prices/
    [Google Scholar]
  6. Eurostat. (2025). House price index. Retrieved 5 June 2025 from https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/view/PRC_HPI_Q/default/table?lang=en
    [Google Scholar]
  7. Forero-Vargas, D., & Iturra, V. (2022). Assessing the impact of recent Venezuelan immigration on housing rents in Colombia. Spatial Economic Analysis, 17(4), 520–537. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.1080/17421772.2022.2036362
    [Google Scholar]
  8. IOM. (2022). Ukraine — Internal Displacement Report. Retrieved 16 June 2025 from https://dtm.iom.int/reports/ukraine-internal-displacement-report-general-population-survey-round-4-29-april-3-may-2022
    [Google Scholar]
  9. Rudyk, Y., Bubela, T., & Maciuk, K. (2023) Russia-Ukraine war: transport and logistics support for grain supply chain in regional food safety. Scientific Journal of Silesian University of Technology. Series Transport, 119, 223–233. ISSN: 0209-3324. DOI: https://doi.org/10.20858/sjsutst.2023.119.13.
    [Google Scholar]
  10. Trojanek, R., & Gluszak, M. (2022). Short-run impact of the Ukrainian refugee crisis on the housing market in Poland. Finance Research Letters, 50, 103236. Retrieved 20 June 2025 from https://doi.org/10.1016/J.FRL.2022.103236
    [Google Scholar]
  11. UNHRC. (2025). Situation Ukraine Refugee Situation. Retrieved 16 June 2025, from https://data.unhcr.org/en/situations/ukraine
    [Google Scholar]
  12. Wikipedia. (2025). Visegrád Group. Retrieved 27 May 2025, from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Visegrád_Group
    [Google Scholar]
/content/papers/10.3997/2214-4609.202552016
Loading
/content/papers/10.3997/2214-4609.202552016
Loading

Data & Media loading...

This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error