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EAGE GET 2022
- Conference date: November 7-9, 2022
- Location: The Hague, Netherlands
- Published: 07 November 2022
1 - 20 of 83 results
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Characterizing Subsurface Geology: Critical for the Energy Transition
Authors A. Davies, L. Cowliff, E. Kozlowski and M. SimmonsSummaryThe energy transition requires rapid, yet plausible, characterisation of the subsurface. Locating sites for the storage of CO2, or H2, or for geothermal energy, requires an understanding of heterogeneity and resulting porosity and permeability variations. Moreover, with demand for hydrocarbons remaining substantial for several decades, carbon efficient portfolios are required incorporating advantaged hydrocarbons (those with the lowest emissions associated with upstream production). Fortunately, new approaches accelerate the creation of subsurface models, whilst retaining their geological fidelity.
Estimates of heterogeneity have often been qualitative, but it is possible to quantify vertical heterogeneity from an automated well log analysis procedure to determine a range of heterogeneity metrics. Alongside machine learning-based determinations of porosity and permeability, and net-to-gross estimates, this allows reservoir/storage units to be ranked for advantage or storage resource. The quantification of heterogeneity also provides a means to easily identify suitable analogues and other contextual data.
Process-based geological modelling provides 3D representations of the subsurface, adding interpretation and detail away from control points. Prediction of heterogeneity and rock properties are typical outcomes. The generation of such models can be streamlined using a repository of boundary conditions from integrated paleoclimate and source to sink studies.
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Critical Metals: Their Role in Global Energy Transition
By D. HallSummaryThe Global Energy Transition is of vital importance as we seek to move to net zero carbon. The various topics being discussed at GET 2022 in relation to the Global Energy Transition however fail to address one of the major risks to the development of net zero carbon. The role of critical metals. A 3MW offshore turbine for example requires 335t of steel, 4.7t of Cu, 3t of Al, 2t of Rare Earth elements (REE) along with Zn and Mo. Stainless steel consumes two-thirds of global nickel production. Energy storage is an intensive end user of graphite, lithium, nickel, and cobalt.
All these metals face long term supply issues. In lithium, more than 1400% increase in annual supply is required over next 20 years, nickel 170%, in certain rare earths like neodymium 180% etc.
The known projections already consider a significant increase in recycling. Given the difficulties and time in getting any project off the ground, the real risk to Global Energy Transition to zero carbon is that it is not achievable due to lack of raw materials. The required pipeline in most metals and minerals does not simply exist.
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Required Capabilities for Assessing Depleted and Deep Saline Reservoirs for Successful CCS-Projects
Authors H.J. Kloosterman and A. KirchinSummaryDepleted and saline reservoir types are the main candidates to consider for any CCS-scenario. Both kinds of reservoir have fundamentally different risk profiles and degrees of uncertainty and each of them has a role to play in successful CO2 sequestration scenarios.
Depleted reservoirs provide a relatively rapid path to storage with significantly less uncertainty on containment and injectivity efficiency. However, the large number of well penetrations that reduce the performance uncertainty also increase the risk of potential leakage points.
In contrast, deep saline reservoirs will take longer to bring to project maturity but have an order of magnitude more storage potential. Additionally, they will almost certainly support super-critical injection in dense phase making the project design much simpler to manage and monitor.
Successful long-term CO2 storage projects are likely to employ a combination of both types of reservoirs through a phased life-cycle where the use of a depleted reservoir enables early injection whilst an adjacent saline reservoir is brought “on stream” later on.
The implementation of successful CO2 storage projects requires capabilities with strong adjacency to the oil and gas sector, supplemented with those specific to CO2 storage, requiring flexible and adaptable approaches to the upskilling of key staff.
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Efficiency of Temporary CO2 Storage in Saline Aquifers
By N. AndrianovSummaryIn a net-zero CO2 emission economy, the CO2 transportation and storage networks will need to accommodate fluctuations in CO2 feed-flows. This calls for a need to assess different strategies for temporary storage of CO2. The objective of the present work is to evaluate the efficiency of temporary CO2 storage in saline aquifers for the case of two geological sites in Denmark, Stenlille and Havnsø. Specifically, we study the sensitivity of CO2 recovery factor with regards to the parameters of the CO2-water relative permeabilities and capillary pressures. The results of the sensitivity study demonstrate a critical role of rock-fluid interactions and accurate reservoir characterization on the estimates of CO2 recovery. In all considered injection/production scenarios, the efficiency of temporary CO2 storage does not exceed 30%; achieving this recovery factor is only possible if a large amount of CO2 is injected in the reservoir for permanent storage (several hundred thousand tons for the considered cases). The duration of this initial CO2 injection is of the order of years so that the caprock integrity will not be compromised.
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Carbon Storage Project Management: Lessons Learned from Agile Visualization Phase.
SummaryDecarbonization is a real target these days that will would require, initially, carbon storage projects for further achievements. Even though there are several Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS) standards, guidelines or other recommendations on the published literature, it is paramount to collect and discuss how operator are progressing (visualization phase) on these projects with real milestones and decision process gateways. This project´s reality is most of the time hidden. This paper focus on a practical and fit for purpose integrated CCS visualization workflow through agile methodologies. Traditionally, each discipline (G&G, geomechanics, etc…) used to work on a separate workflow which results may be assembled later on. Presented workflow helped to reduce expected results uncertainties by incremental iterations (“sprints”), that progressively corrected areas of improvements (adaptative fit for purpose), reduced uncertainties (efficiency) and focus deliverables (visualization modelling). This workflow execution on real data sets provided several paramount lessons learned for future projects. These insights proved that data can be converted to useful knowledge (CCS candidate technical feasibility visualization).
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Using Forward Stratigraphic Modeling with Machine Learning Property Modeling for Site Characterization of Offshore Wind Farms
Authors A. Ahmad, K. Eder, A. Campana and S. ThumSummaryWind Farms, ML Property Modeling, Geological Process Modeling
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An Assessment of Hydrogen Storage Potential in Porous Media in Europe – Results from Hystories Project
Authors Y. Le Gallo and C. VincentSummaryStorage capacity in European countries is computed from an extensive database gathered in Hystories Project. This database was built by expanding existing databases such as CO2STOP/ESTMAP.
The 1082 traps of the Hystories database were modeled using a synthetic approach. The synthetic approach considers simplified geometrical parameters such as area, thickness, porosity and depth. For each trap, a simplified petrophysical properties distributions for permeability and the porosity of the storage formations were used to assess the porous volume. A database of 747 synthetic geological models was established where sufficient publicly data is available. The proposed volumetric approach extends the approach developed for CO2 storage to Hydrogen storage. It uses the hydrogen, brine and hydrocarbon properties computed at the storage conditions in terms of densities and viscosities. The approach also estimated the uncertainties of the different parameters from the database.
The approach was validated against published dynamic capacities for hydrogen storage and is extended to all the traps in the Hystories database.
For most European countries, the storage capacity provided by the porous media covers the expected demand as established within Hystories project. The different type of storages may require different lead time to qualify for hydrogen storage.
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Lessons Learned from Carbon Capture Storage (CCS) Subsurface Characterization: Velocity Modeling Methodology Applied to the CCS
Authors M.A. Trenado Bustos, J.M. González Muñoz and M. García GómezSummaryThis paper presents the specific methodology to elaborate a velocity model for a general CCS project to accomplish with their specific requirements for the CO2 injection and reduce its uncertainty in some key factors as the seal and reservoir integrity according to the results obtained in the property model. It proposes to focus the velocity model (and its results) not only in the depth conversion as an isolate product, but to incorporate their results into the property modeling analysis. Also, it shows the lessons learned to be applied (depending on data availability) in a CCS project.
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Monitoring Ground Movement – The Big Jigsaw of the Cavern Gas-Storage Epe, Germany
Authors T. Rudolph, P. Goerke-Mallet, M. Poplawski, A. Müterthies, S. Teuwsen and C. YangSummaryMonitoring an underground gas-storage is complex and challenging. Figuratively speaking, it is a jigsaw, in which not all pieces are available, and not completely clear which motif will be created. At the same time, it is necessary to explain the motif. This process is already challenging for experts, but even poses great problems for a large number of local stakeholders to understand the process. The research cooperation Epe aims to make the ground movement at the cavern storage Epe (NW-Germany) explainable and transparent. For this purpose, the research cooperation was founded by the city of Gronau, the citizens’ initiative Kavernenfeld Epe e.V., EFTAS GmbH, Münster and the Research Center of Post-Mining of the Technical University Georg Agricola, Bochum. The operators in the cavern field also support with field data and knowledge. Radar remote sensing (InSAR) is used to analyse the ground movement, which might be caused by the cavern operation. The InSAR result will be merged with the available public geodata and mine surveying data. A public participation process will accompany all work. For the first time, the cooperation leads to a direct exchange of various participants in a mining project for establishing a common understanding of the process.
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Accelerating Geotechnical Soil Characterization in Offshore Windfarm Sites via Semi-Supervised Learning
Authors H. Di and A. AbubakarSummaryAs an essential component to the process of wind farm site characterization and selection, robust soil property estimation becomes feasible by integrating the available 2D ultrahigh-resolution (UHR) seismic profiles and 1D come penetration tests (CPT) using machine learning algorithms. However, the strong noises present in UHR seismic and moreover limited availability of CPT logs increases the risk of unstable property estimation by typical supervised learning. This study proposes developing a semi-supervised learning workflow for geotechnical soil characterization, which consists of two steps: seismic denoising and feature engineering (SDFE) and seismic-CPT integration (SCI). Each of them is implemented by training a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) and they are connected by using the encoder of the pre-trained SDFE-CNN as the basis of the SCI-CNN. The proposed method is tested on the Hollandse Kust Zuid (HKZ) wind farm between the Hague and Zandvoort. The machine prediction successfully delineates the sandy silt layer of low friction ratio and medium cone-tip resistance below the seabed and moreover the underlying potential clay intervals of relatively high friction ratio and low cone-tip resistance.
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Periodic Storage of Hydrogen in Sandstone Reservoirs in the Norwegian offshore – Geomechanical Analysis
More LessSummaryIn order to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, decarbonized electricity should become an increasingly important part of the world’s energy mix. However, a major issue in covering the energy demand with electricity is its storage, to even out grid load. One solution is to store electricity in the form of hydrogen; this can be performed on land, in dedicated reinforced containers, or in hewn out lined caverns (usually in salt formations). Another option which is studied in this paper, is to store hydrogen offshore, in depleted oil and gas reservoirs. In this work, the mechanical risks of fatigue, failure and fracture in and around a storage reservoir from the North Sea, subjected to hydrogen injection and depletion cycles, are investigated, through finite element analysis. The work focuses on the mechanical integrity aspects, neglecting longer-term geochemical interactions. Our study identifies that for sufficiently large reservoir pressure amplitude cycles, tensile failure risks exist during the injection phase and shear failure risks during the subsequent injection and depletion phases, at specific locations where stress concentration occurs. We demonstrate that the amplitude of the loading cycles has a large influence on the evolution of the stress state around the reservoir and on plastic deformation accumulation.
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Optimizing Production and CO2 Injection Using a Physics Embedded Machine Learning workflow.
Authors C. Calad, J. Rafiee, P. Sarma, Y. Zhao and F. GutierrezSummaryThis paper introduces a novel technology to optimize injection of Carbon Dioxide to Enhance Oil Recovery (EOR) in mature fields. The methodology is called Data Physics as it embeds the applicable physics, described by the Partial Differential Equations (PDE) into a Machine Learning (ML) workflow to infer the ranges of the petrophysics parameters and build a continuous model that is able to replicate the past behavior of the field and hence, predict its future performance. Once the user builds a satisfactory predictive model, it is run through an optimization workflow that uses evolutionary algorithms to find the pareto front of the operation and prescribe the actions required (injection volumes per well or layer) to achieve it.
Data Physics has been successfully applied to waterfloods resulting in production and reserves recovery increase of up to 15% by redistributing injection and cost reduction of up to 40% by reducing the amount of water being injected without impacting oil production.
This paper shows how the methodology is being extended to apply it to CO2 floods as EOR and shows a case study of its application to create a predictive model of a real field.
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Geothermal-Hydrothermal Modeling of Volcano-Hosted System, Cordillera Central Colombia: Insights for Deep Geothermal Energy Resource Assessment
Authors N. Sánchez, G. Pérez-Drago, J. Pérez, A. Negre and F. MedellinSummaryThe Central Cordillera of Colombia volcano-tectonic province has suitable geological conditions for geothermal renewable and sustainable energy sources. The use of 3D geologic modeling and simulations are an effective tool for better understanding the subsurface geology and have a better estimation of potential resource assessment. This work aims to characterize and simulate the geothermal and hydrothermal processes in a volcano-hosted system, using a 3D crustal-basin modelling software, to estimate the in-place geothermal energy potential in a high-enthalpy deep geothermal system, establishing spatial relationships between heat sources, flow patterns, lithologies and fault networks. The results confirm the large convective-conductive geothermal-hydrothermal system activity in the metamorphic Cajamarca complex and the andesitic-dacitic lavas within the upflow zone, and the hydrothermal flow pattern in the outflow zone structurally controlled by the fault network. Furthermore, the simulated heat energy in-place results served as input data for a reservoir pre-feasibility energy recovery simulation with closed-loop systems, to investigate the ultimate recoverable heat energy potential exploitable as an EGS.
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CO2 Full Field Thermo-Hydro-Mechanical Modeling in Depleted Gas Field: a Numerical Approach to Assess Injection Feasibility
Authors G.L.D. Facchi, A.M.S. Elgendy and F. MartonSummaryIn the perspective of reducing the CO2 emissions in the atmosphere, geological storage in depleted gas reservoirs might provide excellent opportunities due to world-wide availability combined with existing infrastructure. To assess the feasibility of an injection plan in a depleted reservoir, the evolution of the stress field is a key point to ensure the storage integrity. Then, thermal effects are considered both on the fluid-dynamics and on the mechanical properties of the storage units, caprock included. The objective of this work is to build numerical models that account for the resolution of fluid-flows, geomechanics and the energy equations to properly catch the physical interaction at reservoir level to predict the condition of mechanical failure. The application to a depleted gas reservoir then shows how these tools can be used for developing the proper monitoring and risk mitigation actions.
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Delineate CO2 Plume Bodies by Mapping Subsurface Property Changes from Time-Lapse Seismic Gathers with Deep Learning
Authors S. Phan, W. Hu and A. AbubakarSummaryConventional time-lapse seismic data analysis for CO2 monitoring goes through a full processing workflow, which includes complex procedures such as velocity model building, seismic imaging, and full waveform inversion. These procedures are very time consuming, often taking months to years depending on the survey area, requiring extensive manual interactions from domain specialists which can introduce human bias into the results. To bypass these computationally expensive and manually intensive processes, we introduce a novel deep learning algorithm for the subsurface property estimation directly from pre-stack monitoring seismic data. With this algorithm, the nonlinear mapping between the depth domain property contrast and the time domain seismic response is established by a deep learning neural network trained on a set of processed baseline and the corresponding monitoring dataset. The trained network then predicts the subsurface property changes caused by the injected supercritical CO2 plumes directly from any new monitoring dataset without conventional velocity model building and imaging procedures. This neural network features a novel multi-branch design with enhanced feature extraction and a customed binary cross-entropy loss function handling the imbalanced training labels. It is applicable to surface seismic data, vertical seismic profile, cross-well data, or other types of geophysical data.
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Energy Transition, the Norwegian Continental Shelf as a Sustainable Subsurface Energy System
Authors A. Escalona, D. Marin and H. SkjørestadSummaryEnergy and climate change are the biggest challenge of our time. The energy transition requires large amounts of storage for both energy and waste, therefore new ways to utilize the subsurface are necessary. In this presentation, an overview of the potential of the subsurface on the Norwegian Continental shelf is presented where both energy and waste can be produced and stored for achieving a sustainable holistic energy system. This includes production of oil and gas, storage of CO2 and hydrogen, and geothermal. In particular, existing infrastructure near salt structures are one of the most attractive areas to investigate as it provides reutilization of existing infrastructure, along with good sealing properties of the salt and impact in the geothermal gradient.
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Simulation Digital Tool: Sensitivity Analysis to Critical Storage Coefficients
Authors M. Garcia Gomez, J.M. González Muñoz and M.A. Trenado BustosSummaryThe estimation of CO2 storage resources is a key tasks to understand the viability of a CCS project. There are different methodologies to calculate the CO2 resources. All these methods apply some storage coefficients. These coefficients are difficult to estimate and generates high uncertainty becoming critical parameters. This paper will focus in understand the impact of these critical parameters in the CO2 storage resources estimation using the U.S. Geological Survey methodology. Three critical parameters have been selected to perform a sensitivity analysis: the buoyant trapping storage efficiencies, the residual trapping storage efficiencies and the CO2 density. Using a simulation digital tool based on Monte Carlo algorithm, the P90 and P10 values were analyzed for each critical parameter and compare with the mean CO2 storage volume of a base case generated from a static model. Depending on which coefficient values have been chosen, the deviation of the storage resources could be up to 33% having a potential impact in the CCS project. The use of simulation digital tools to analyze these critical coefficients become necessary, being able to generate thousands of realizations allowing to decrease the uncertainty of these risky parameters and having more control in the storage resources estimation.
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Application of Anaerobic Digestion for Biogas and Methane Production from Fresh Beach-Cast Biomass
Authors J. Burlakovs, Z. Vincevica-Gaile, V. Bisters, W. Hogland, M. Kriipsalu, I. Zekker, R.H. Setyobudi, Y. Jani and O. AnneSummaryIn this research, biogas production potential from beach wrack collected in Riga Gulf (Ragaciems, Jaunķemeri, Bigauņciems) and in coastline of Sweden (Kalmar) was studied using an anaerobic digestion method. Selected beach wrack masses laying ashore and containing macroalgal biomass of common macroalgae types specific to the Baltic Sea were mixed for consolidated samples. Anoxic fermentation of untreated beach wrack was carried out in 16 bioreactors applying a single filling mode at 38 °C. The study revealed that by utilizing beach wrack accumulated ashore as a feedstock for anaerobic digestion methane can be utilized if pretreatment and conditioning of the samples are performed.
The study was continued for selected brown algae containing biomass tested with three dewatering pretreatment methods: a) keeping in tap water for 24 hours; b) washing with running fresh water for one hour, and c) drying to relatively constant weight. The resulting methane outcome was compared with the data corresponding to raw brown algae. The study confirmed that washing of macroalgal biomass applied as pretreatment prior to anaerobic fermentation avoids inhibition of salts and promotes biomethane production.
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CO2 Geochemical Impact Evaluation for CCS in Depleted Gas Reservoirs; a Comprehensive Numerical Modeling Approach
Authors E.I. Cojocariu, S. Ricci, A.M.S. Elgendy, G.L.D. Facchi and C. GeloniSummaryA straightforward numerical modeling approach is developed aiming to facilitate the CO2 geochemical impact evaluation for CCS in depleted gas reservoirs. This method is applied to a sandstone reservoir for which extensive experimental analyses on core samples are made to determine the formation bulk mineralogy, bulk chemical composition, and stoichiometry of site-specific minerals.
First, 0D simulations are used to fine-tune formation water composition and define the system’s geochemical stability without CO2. Second, CO2 is added into a static batch cell to identify the prevailing CO2-brine-rock geochemical reactions. In the last stage, a 2D radial reactive transport model (RTM) is set up in accordance with the project’s requirements. Based on the RTM results, evaluations regarding the mineral dissolution/precipitation paths, porosity and permeability changes, dry-out effects and salt precipitation, impact on CO2 injectivity and quantitative evaluations on CO2 permanent trapping are performed.
The results show the occurrence of carbonate dissolution in the entire area contacted by the CO2 and halite precipitation within the near wellbore area during the injection phase. The associated petrophysical changes within the reservoir are nevertheless minor and are not considered threatening to the injectivity or fluid migration. However, for containment evaluation, a separate caprock geochemical study is required.
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Effects of Fossil Fuel Dependency and Economic Shocks on Renewable Energy Evolution
More LessSummaryThis research investigates how country-specific market characteristics affect renewable energy (RE) growth. The study provides an econometric analysis on panel data including 26 countries and up to 16 yearly data points. Target variable is a share of RE generation. Key considered independent variables are energy dependency and share of energy produced from three main fossil fuels (oil, gas and solid i.e., coal). Control variables are rates of change in energy prices, gross domestic product (GDP) change, share of investments into research and development from GDP and share of energy consumption by industry.
Results indicate that dependency on oil and solid fossil has opposite effects on the development of RE. The first one acts as a supporting factor, while the latter hinders RE growth. GDP growth has a positive effect on RE progress. At the same time, the share of energy consumed by industry has a negative effect on RE evolution. Furthermore, the study also highlights the slowing down impact that great recession (2007–2009) and oil glut (2014–2017) have on RE progress. Recession caused noticeable negative impact, while oil surplus consequences are milder but last for longer period.
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