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oa Prediction under Uncertainty in Reservoir Modeling
- Publisher: European Association of Geoscientists & Engineers
- Source: Conference Proceedings, ECMOR VIII - 8th European Conference on the Mathematics of Oil Recovery, Sep 2002, cp-104-00045
- ISBN: 978-90-73781-24-5
Abstract
Reservoir simulation is routinely employed in the prediction of reservoir performance under different depletion and operating scenarios. Usually, a single history matched model, conditioned to production data, is obtained. The model is then used to forecast future production profiles. Since the history match is non-unique, this is essentially an inverse problem. Hence the forecast production profiles are uncertain, although this uncertainty is not usually quantified.